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Both Halves Are Wrong

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Traps

Where figures go wrong

When a measure becomes a target it stops describing the work. Treat that as a prediction, not a caution.

7 notes

Goodhart in Practice

When a measure becomes a target it stops being a good measure. What that looks like in four ordinary workplaces.

Gaming Is Information, Not Misconduct

The response to being measured tells you something about the measure. Treating it as a conduct problem loses the information.

Averages, Outliers and the Tail

Productivity data is rarely symmetrical, which makes the average the least informative summary available.

Comparing Teams That Are Not Comparable

Ranking teams by productivity is the most requested comparison and the one least likely to be valid.

The Denominator Nobody Checks

Most productivity movements turn out to be denominator movements. Checking it first saves a great deal of explanation.

Seasonality and the Quarter Effect

Comparing adjacent periods is the default and the data has a shape that makes it misleading.

Survivorship in Productivity Figures

Figures are calculated on who and what remains. What left is excluded, and it is frequently the explanation.